UEFA Nations League

SloveniaНПННП
—
FYR MacedoniaППННВ
1Slovenia24%model4.15bookmaker1.73
XDraw43%model2.30bookmaker3.76
2FYR Macedonia32%model3.09bookmaker5.35

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

calculated at 21:08, 148 мс

Outcome

Slovenia24%
Draw43%
FYR Macedonia32%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

The sides are closely matched, and a draw is likelier than usual at 43%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Slovenia

DLDDL
  • awaySweden1:1
  • homeKosovo0:2
  • homeSwitzerland0:0
  • awayKosovo0:0
  • awaySwitzerland0:3

FYR Macedonia

LLDDW
  • awayDenmark0:4
  • awayWales1:7
  • homeKazakhstan1:1
  • awayBelgium0:0
  • homeLiechtenstein5:0

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Словения vs Северная Македония: prediction and stats — VARstats