UEFA Nations League

SloveniaНПННП
—
ScotlandППВВП
1Slovenia17%model6.01bookmaker2.73
XDraw31%model3.28bookmaker3.21
2Scotland53%model1.89bookmaker2.82

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

calculated at 21:08, 233 мс

Outcome

Slovenia17%
Draw31%
Scotland53%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Slovenia vs Scotland

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Away from home, Scotland still look stronger — an away win is rated at 53%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Slovenia

DLDDL
  • awaySweden1:1
  • homeKosovo0:2
  • homeSwitzerland0:0
  • awayKosovo0:0
  • awaySwitzerland0:3

Scotland

LLWWL
  • homeBrazil0:3
  • homeMorocco0:1
  • awayHaiti1:0
  • homeDenmark4:2
  • awayGreece2:3

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Словения vs Шотландия: prediction and stats — VARstats