All matches

SC do Recife — Goias, Serie B

Brazil, Serie B

2.3WLDWW
  
2.1WDWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
49%24%27%
SC do Recife49%Draw24%Goias27%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
Available with PremiumUnlock

Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1SC do Recife49%2.04—
XDraw24%4.15—
2Goias27%3.71—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

ours 1.66

No40%

ours 2.52

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3725 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3714 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3703 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

SC do RecifeGoias

SC do Recife 49%, Goiás EC 27%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

SC do Recife 49%Draw 24%Goiás EC 27%
1st half
32 · 42 · 26
2nd half
43 · 30 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total offsides: Over 1.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSC do RecifeGoiasCombined
Goals scored1.401.202.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

SC do Recife
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 52:1, 0:2, 1:1, 2:1, 2:1
Goias
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 52:0, 0:0, 2:0, 2:1, 0:3

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

SC do Recife

  • homeCriciuma2:1
  • homeFortaleza0:2
  • awayAC Goianiense1:1
  • homeSao Bernardo2:1
  • awayAthletic (MG)2:1

Goias

  • awayCeara2:0
  • homeNautico0:0
  • awayOperario Ferroviario2:0
  • homeAthletic (MG)2:1
  • awayGremio Novorizontino0:3

Head to head

  • 07/22/26Serie B1:1
  • 09/18/24Serie B1:1
  • 06/01/24Serie B0:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Criciuma351781036:3059
6CRB351671253:4955
7SC do Recife351412947:3854
8AC Goianiense351412942:3354
9Goias351571336:4052
10Operario Ferroviario351491245:4651
11Sao Bernardo3513101249:3949

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.