Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.90
No47%
ours 2.11
All matches
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Vila Nova — Juventude, Serie B
Brazil, Serie B
Vila Nova
2.1WWWDW
Juventude
1.8WWLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%27%29%
Vila Nova44%Draw27%Juventude29%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Vila Nova2.28—
XDraw3.76—
2Juventude3.40—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricVila NovaJuventudeCombined
Goals scored0.500.671.17
Conceded0.000.000.00
Corners13.59.011.3
Cards1.52.54.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Vila NovaJuventude
Vila Nova FC 44%, EC Juventude 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Vila Nova FC 44%Draw 27%EC Juventude 29%
1st half
37 · 41 · 22
2nd half
28 · 41 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
68%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Vila Nova
- awayBotafogo-SP1:0
- homeLondrina2:0
- homeAmerica Mineiro1:0
- awayAvai1:1
- homeGoias2:0
Juventude
- homeOperario Ferroviario3:0
- awayAmerica Mineiro1:0
- awaySC do Recife1:2
- homeAthletic (MG)0:2
- awayCriciuma2:0
Head to head
- 07/10/26Serie B0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Vila Nova31176844:3157
Vila Nova31176844:31572Juventude31168735:1956
Juventude31168735:19563
Gremio Novorizontino31159752:2754
Gremio Novorizontino31159752:27544
Fortaleza311411636:2753
Fortaleza311411636:2753Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.