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Saint Johnstone vs Falkirk: result 1:1

Scotland, PremiershipMatch finished

Final score 1:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Saint Johnstone 38%, Falkirk 37%, draw 26%.

Saint Johnstone
1.3DDLDW
1:1HT 0:0
Falkirk
2.0WWWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
38%26%37%
Saint JohnstonePrice 2.0638%DrawPrice 3.3626%FalkirkPrice 3.4837%
Line-upsSaint Johnstone4-2-3-1—Falkirk4-2-3-1

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Saint Johnstone4-2-3-1Falkirk4-2-3-1

Saint Johnstone4-2-3-1

Coach: S. Valakari

Starting XI

  • 1GKEnglandT. Steward
  • 33DFScotlandL. Smith
  • 3DFEnglandC. Diabate
  • 5DFEnglandZ. Mitchell
  • 2DFTürkiyeE. Alıç
  • 8MFScotlandJ. Holt
  • 42MFScotlandR. McAlear
  • 32MFScotlandJ. Campbell
  • 30MFWalesJ. Cotterill
  • 7MFScotlandT. Steven
  • 9FWJ. Fowler

Substitutes

  • 19DFNorthern IrelandD. Finlayson
  • 18FWScotlandK. Fotheringham
  • 14DFEnglandM. Foulds
  • 99FWRepublic of IrelandR. Paton
  • 22FWGermanyD. Schmidt
  • 20GKScotlandR. Sinclair
  • 11MFScotlandS. Stanton
  • 25MFScotlandM. Tait
  • 26MFScotlandM. Todd

Falkirk4-2-3-1

Coach: J. McGlynn

Starting XI

  • 19GKScotlandS. Bain
  • 22DFAustraliaR. Strain
  • 21DFLatviaD. Meļņiks
  • 5DFScotlandL. Henderson
  • 3DFScotlandL. McCann
  • 16MFEnglandFinley Frank Barbrook
  • 8MFScotlandB. Spencer
  • 23MFScotlandE. Ross
  • 28MFEnglandB. Krauhaus
  • 42MFEnglandOwen Eames
  • 24FWUSAJ. Murrell

Substitutes

  • 99MFUSAC. Fodrey
  • 1GKScotlandN. Hogarth
  • 9FWScotlandR. MacIver
  • 4DFScotlandJ. McMillan
  • 15DFScotlandL. Neilson
  • 7FWEnglandBen Parkinson
  • 10MFScotlandC. Sibbald
  • 17DFEnglandS. Tanser
  • 47FWNorthern IrelandA. Doherty

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

0.97xG1.38
44Possession, %56
8Shots13
5Shots on target4
3Corners8
3Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
13Fouls18
1Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 74 of 98void — 2
  • Match result Missed
    Saint Johnstone38%

    Actual: Draw — we had 26%

  • Total goals Missed
    Over 2.550%

    Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 50%

  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes55%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Saint Johnstone38%46%2.662.06-8.6
XDraw26%27%3.863.36-1.5
2Falkirk37%26%2.743.48+10.2

Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Saint Johnstone

  • awayKilmarnock2:2
  • homeMotherwell2:2
  • awayRangers0:4
  • homeDundee United1:1
  • awayAberdeen1:0

Falkirk

  • homeCeltic2:0
  • awayAberdeen1:0
  • homeKilmarnock3:0
  • awayHibernian2:1
  • homeDundee1:2

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Premiership1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Rangers1173119:924
3Hearts1162324:1720
4Falkirk1253415:1218
5Dundee1152417:1317
6Dundee United1144316:1616
7Saint Johnstone1235415:1914
8St. Mirren1242612:2014
9Motherwell1233614:2012

More matches in this competition

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Upcoming

Dundee United–Motherwell472529Saint Johnstone–Dundee422632Aberdeen–Hibernian392734St. Mirren–Rangers131868Hearts–Falkirk652015

Played

Falkirk2:0Celtic151867×Kilmarnock2:2Saint Johnstone452629×Dundee United0:0HeartsPostponed

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.