Both teams to score
Yes41%
ours 2.45
No59%
ours 1.69
All matches
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Sagan Tosu — Vanraure Hachinohe, J2 League
Japan, J2 League
Sagan Tosu
LLLLW
Vanraure Hachinohe
LWLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%29%24%
Sagan Tosu47%Draw29%Vanraure Hachinohe24%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sagan Tosu2.11—
XDraw3.47—
2Vanraure Hachinohe4.21—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSagan TosuVanraure HachinoheCombined
Goals scored0.170.330.50
Conceded1.001.002.00
Corners11.36.79.0
Cards1.00.71.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Sagan TosuVanraure Hachinohe
Sagan Tosu 47%, Vanraure Hachinohe 24%. The safest is “Sagan Tosu or draw” at 76%.
Sagan Tosu 47%Draw 29%Vanraure Hachinohe 24%
1st half
35 · 50 · 15
2nd half
35 · 40 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Sagan Tosu
- awayBlaublitz Akita0:1
- awayMontedio Yamagata0:2
- homeIwaki FC1:3
- awayFC Imabari0:1
- homeTegevajaro Miyazaki2:0
Vanraure Hachinohe
- homeYokohama FC0:2
- awayJubilo Iwata2:1
- homeTegevajaro Miyazaki0:3
- homeShonan Bellmare0:1
- awayFujieda MYFC0:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13
Tochigi City931515:1510
Tochigi City931515:151014
Jubilo Iwata931511:1310
Jubilo Iwata931511:131015Vanraure Hachinohe93155:1410
Vanraure Hachinohe93155:141016
Iwaki FC930612:179
Iwaki FC930612:17917Sagan Tosu92258:128
Sagan Tosu92258:12818
Consadole Sapporo922512:188
Consadole Sapporo922512:18819
FC Imabari92169:187
FC Imabari92169:187Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.