All matches

FC Imabari — Vanraure Hachinohe, J2 League

Japan, J2 League

FC Imabari
WLLWD
—
Vanraure Hachinohe
LWLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
43%28%29%
FC Imabari43%Draw28%Vanraure Hachinohe29%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Imabari43%2.31—
XDraw28%3.59—
2Vanraure Hachinohe29%3.47—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes46%

ours 2.15

No54%

ours 1.87

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos: result and total

Two events in one forecast. The model scores them together, from the probability of every scoreline — so the link between them is built in: when the home side is stronger, a win and plenty of goals tend to come together.

Combos come with a subscription: probability, fair odds and the market comparison for all 24 combinations.

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Combos: result and corners

The result comes from the goals model, corners from the corners model. The link between them is measured on 66,000 played matches: the winning side usually takes fewer corners, because the team chasing the game does the crossing. The market has no ready line for these combinations, so «Market» here is a parlay of two separate bets: the result and the corners total.

Corner combos come with a subscription: probability and fair odds for all 48 combinations.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFC ImabariVanraure HachinoheCombined
Goals scored1.000.331.33
Conceded1.001.172.17
Corners8.67.48.0
Cards1.80.62.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

FC ImabariVanraure Hachinohe

FC Imabari 43%, Vanraure Hachinohe 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.

FC Imabari 43%Draw 28%Vanraure Hachinohe 29%
1st half
33 · 47 · 19
2nd half
34 · 38 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Home or draw

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

FC Imabari

  • awayTochigi City2:1
  • homeShonan Bellmare1:2
  • awayYokohama FC1:2
  • homeSagan Tosu1:0
  • awayOita Trinita1:1

Vanraure Hachinohe

  • homeYokohama FC0:2
  • awayJubilo Iwata2:1
  • homeTegevajaro Miyazaki0:3
  • homeShonan Bellmare0:1
  • awayFujieda MYFC0:0

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Tochigi City931515:1510
14Jubilo Iwata931511:1310
15Vanraure Hachinohe93155:1410
16Iwaki FC930612:179
17Sagan Tosu92258:128
18Consadole Sapporo922512:188
19FC Imabari92169:187
20Ventforet Kofu92167:177

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.