All matches

Patro Eisden — Gent II, Challenger Pro League

Belgium, Challenger Pro League

1.9WWLLL
  
1.5LWDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
51%24%25%
Patro Eisden51%Draw24%Gent II25%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
Available with PremiumUnlock

Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Patro Eisden51%1.95—
XDraw24%4.19—
2Gent II25%4.03—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.83

No45%

ours 2.21

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3682 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3671 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3661 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Patro EisdenGent II

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 51%, KAA Gent B 25%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 51%Draw 24%KAA Gent B 25%
1st half
40 · 41 · 19
2nd half
38 · 36 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Under 1.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricPatro EisdenGent IICombined
Goals scored1.401.402.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Patro Eisden
  • Fewest corners in the league in their matches — 7.4 per match15 teams in the league
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
Gent II
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
  • Fewest shots in the league — 10.0 per match15 teams in the league
  • One win in the last 5 matches0:2, 3:2, 2:2, 0:1, 2:2

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Patro Eisden

  • awayRFC Liege3:2
  • homeJong Genk1:0
  • awayFC Verbroedering Dender Eendracht Hekelgem0:1
  • homeEupen1:2
  • awayKFCO Beerschot-Wilrijk2:4

Gent II

  • awayLokeren-Temse0:2
  • homeSeraing3:2
  • awayClub Brugge II2:2
  • homeFC Verbroedering Dender Eendracht Hekelgem0:1
  • homeAnderlecht Futures2:2

Head to head

  • 02/27/26Challenger Pro League1:2
  • 11/29/25Challenger Pro League2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Virton731312:910
8Club Brugge II723211:139
9Patro Eisden830511:149
11Jong Genk822412:158
12Gent II72239:138
13Seraing812511:165
14RFC Liege812513:215

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.