All matches

Eupen — KFCO Beerschot-Wilrijk, First Division B

Belgium, First Division B

Eupen
WWWLW
—
KFCO Beerschot-Wilrijk
1.0WWWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
30%26%44%
Eupen30%Draw26%KFCO Beerschot-Wilrijk44%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Eupen30%3.31—
XDraw26%3.86—
2KFCO Beerschot-Wilrijk44%2.28—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes47%

ours 2.12

No53%

ours 1.89

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.

Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

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Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

EupenKFCO Beerschot-Wilrijk

KAS Eupen 30%, KFCO Beerschot-Wilrijk 44%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

KAS Eupen 30%Draw 26%KFCO Beerschot-Wilrijk 44%
1st half
21 · 49 · 30
2nd half
25 · 40 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricEupenKFCO Beerschot-WilrijkCombined
Goals scored1.831.503.33
Conceded0.830.831.66
Corners11.611.011.3
Cards1.82.24.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Form and context

Eupen

  • homeRFC Liege3:1
  • awayPatro Eisden2:1
  • awayClub Brugge II1:0
  • awayLokeren-Temse1:2
  • homeJong Genk4:1

KFCO Beerschot-Wilrijk

  • awaySporting Hasselt1:0
  • homeLierse Kempenzonen3:1
  • homePatro Eisden4:2
  • awayAnderlecht Futures1:0
  • awayFC Verbroedering Dender Eendracht Hekelgem0:2

Head to head

  • 04/10/26First Division B3:3
  • 08/16/25First Division B1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1KFCO Beerschot-Wilrijk650113:515
2FC Verbroedering Dender Eendracht Hekelgem65018:215
3Eupen540111:512
4Francs Borains54019:412
5Virton53118:210

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.