All matches

Seraing — RFC Liege, First Division B

Belgium, First Division B

Seraing
DLLDL
—
RFC Liege
LDDLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
38%25%37%
Seraing38%Draw25%RFC Liege37%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Seraing38%2.65—
XDraw25%4.00—
2RFC Liege37%2.68—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes52%

ours 1.93

No48%

ours 2.08

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos: result and total

Two events in one forecast. The model scores them together, from the probability of every scoreline — so the link between them is built in: when the home side is stronger, a win and plenty of goals tend to come together.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSeraingRFC LiegeCombined
Goals scored0.671.001.67
Conceded1.171.502.67
Corners11.013.512.3
Cards1.81.53.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

SeraingRFC Liege

RFC Seraing 38%, RFC de Liege 37%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

RFC Seraing 38%Draw 25%RFC de Liege 37%
1st half
25 · 41 · 35
2nd half
34 · 42 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Seraing

  • awayJong Genk2:2
  • homeSporting Hasselt1:2
  • awayFC Verbroedering Dender Eendracht Hekelgem0:2
  • homeLierse Kempenzonen1:1
  • awayClub Brugge II2:3

RFC Liege

  • awayEupen1:3
  • homeClub Brugge II4:4
  • awayLierse Kempenzonen0:0
  • homeFC Verbroedering Dender Eendracht Hekelgem1:2
  • awayJong Genk3:2

Head to head

  • 01/24/26First Division B2:2
  • 08/17/25First Division B0:2
  • 01/31/25First Division B1:2
  • 09/29/24First Division B0:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Club Brugge II522111:108
9Jong Genk621312:147
10RFC Liege612310:135
11Gent II51226:95
12Lierse Kempenzonen51224:85
13Patro Eisden61057:123
14Seraing60246:122
15Anderlecht Futures60157:151

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.