Marseille vs PSG: result 1:2
Final score 1:2. Before kick-off VARStats gave: PSG 49%, Marseille 28%, draw 23%.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result LandedPSG49%
- Total goals LandedOver 2.565%
- Both teams to score LandedYes65%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Marseille
- homeToulouse2:0
- homeLe Havre4:3
- awaySturm Graz0:1
- awayAngers5:2
- homeOlympiakos0:1
PSG
- awayLe Havre5:1
- homeLyon2:0
- homeBarcelona4:2
- awayStrasbourg3:1
- awayManchester City4:2
Head to head
- 09/20/26Ligue 11:2
- 02/08/26Ligue 10:5
- 09/22/25Ligue 11:0
- 03/16/25Ligue 11:3
- 10/27/24Ligue 10:3
More matches in this competition
France, Ligue 1: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.


