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Marseille vs PSG: result 1:2

France, Ligue 1Match finished

Final score 1:2. Before kick-off VARStats gave: PSG 49%, Marseille 28%, draw 23%.

2.5WWLWL
1:2HT 0:0
3.4WWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
28%23%49%
Marseille28%Draw23%PSG49%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.36xG3.29
39Possession, %61
12Shots31
4Shots on target10
3Corners7
3Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
9Fouls3
1Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

3 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 77 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    PSG49%
  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.565%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes65%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Marseille28%3.59—
XDraw23%4.36—
2PSG49%2.03—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Marseille

  • homeToulouse2:0
  • homeLe Havre4:3
  • awaySturm Graz0:1
  • awayAngers5:2
  • homeOlympiakos0:1

PSG

  • awayLe Havre5:1
  • homeLyon2:0
  • homeBarcelona4:2
  • awayStrasbourg3:1
  • awayManchester City4:2

Head to head

  • 09/20/26Ligue 11:2
  • 02/08/26Ligue 10:5
  • 09/22/25Ligue 11:0
  • 03/16/25Ligue 11:3
  • 10/27/24Ligue 10:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1PSG962121:1020
2Lille953112:618
3Lyon952215:717
4Paris FC952216:1017
5Rennes951320:1916
6Marseille950420:1315
7Monaco943212:1015
8Nice942313:1214

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.