All matches

Odra Opole — Unia Skierniewice, 1. Liga

Poland, 1. Liga

Odra Opole
LLDDD
—
Unia Skierniewice
DWLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
33%31%36%
Odra Opole33%Draw31%Unia Skierniewice36%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Odra Opole33%3.02—
XDraw31%3.27—
2Unia Skierniewice36%2.75—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes47%

ours 2.12

No53%

ours 1.89

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricOdra OpoleUnia SkierniewiceCombined
Goals scored0.000.670.67
Conceded0.330.500.83
Corners9.09.09.0
Cards2.52.55.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Odra OpoleUnia Skierniewice

OKS Odra Opole 33%, Unia Skierniewice 36%. The safest is “No draw” at 69%.

OKS Odra Opole 33%Draw 31%Unia Skierniewice 36%
1st half
26 · 51 · 23
2nd half
27 · 39 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: No draw

69%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Odra Opole

  • awayLKS Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza0:1
  • homeStal Rzeszow0:1
  • awayFKS Stal Mielec1:1
  • homeLKS Lodz0:0
  • awayPodbeskidzie1:1

Unia Skierniewice

  • awayPodbeskidzie1:1
  • homePogon Grodzisk3:2
  • awayRuch Chorzow1:3
  • homeStal Rzeszow0:1
  • awayMKS Puszcza Niepołomice1:0

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Ruch Chorzow93339:1112
12Arka Gdynia 1929932411:1111
13Unia Skierniewice931510:1510
14Odra Opole92347:99
15Polonia Bytom916214:179
16FKS Stal Mielec923414:239

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.