Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.85
No46%
ours 2.17
All matches
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Polonia Bytom — Odra Opole, 1. Liga
Poland, 1. Liga
Polonia Bytom
DDDDD
Odra Opole
LLDDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
45%27%28%
Polonia Bytom45%Draw27%Odra Opole28%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Polonia Bytom2.23—
XDraw3.65—
2Odra Opole3.62—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricPolonia BytomOdra OpoleCombined
Goals scored0.330.170.50
Conceded0.330.500.83
Corners8.78.78.7
Cards1.72.03.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Polonia BytomOdra Opole
TS Polonia Bytom 45%, OKS Odra Opole 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
TS Polonia Bytom 45%Draw 27%OKS Odra Opole 28%
1st half
34 · 44 · 22
2nd half
37 · 37 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 4.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Polonia Bytom
- homeRuch Chorzow0:0
- awayPolonia Warszawa2:2
- homePodbeskidzie0:0
- awayArka Gdynia 19291:1
- homePogon Grodzisk2:2
Odra Opole
- awayLKS Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza0:1
- homeStal Rzeszow0:1
- awayFKS Stal Mielec1:1
- homeLKS Lodz0:0
- awayPodbeskidzie1:1
Head to head
- 04/26/261. Liga2:0
- 10/19/251. Liga0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12
Arka Gdynia 1929932411:1111
Arka Gdynia 1929932411:111113
Unia Skierniewice931510:1510
Unia Skierniewice931510:151014Odra Opole92347:99
Odra Opole92347:9915Polonia Bytom916214:179
Polonia Bytom916214:17916
FKS Stal Mielec923414:239
FKS Stal Mielec923414:23917
Podbeskidzie908112:148
Podbeskidzie908112:148Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.