UEFA Nations League

Northern IrelandПВППВ
—
HungaryПВНВП
1Northern Ireland64%model1.57bookmaker3.38
XDraw23%model4.28bookmaker3.17
2Hungary13%model7.76bookmaker2.38

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

calculated at 21:09, 161 мс

Outcome

Northern Ireland64%
Draw23%
Hungary13%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Northern Ireland vs Hungary

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Home advantage and current form favour Northern Ireland: a home win is rated at 64%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Northern Ireland

LWLLW
  • awayItaly0:2
  • homeLuxembourg1:0
  • awaySlovakia0:1
  • homeGermany0:1
  • homeSlovakia2:0

Hungary

LWDWL
  • homeRepublic of Ireland2:3
  • awayArmenia1:0
  • awayPortugal2:2
  • homeArmenia2:0
  • homePortugal2:3

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Северная Ирландия vs Венгрия: prediction and stats — VARstats