UEFA Nations League

HungaryПВНВП
—
UkraineПВПВВ
1Hungary26%model3.81bookmaker2.34
XDraw27%model3.75bookmaker3.34
2Ukraine47%model2.12bookmaker3.29

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

calculated at 21:06, 201 мс

Outcome

Hungary26%
Draw27%
Ukraine47%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Hungary vs Ukraine

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Away from home, Ukraine still look stronger — an away win is rated at 47%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Hungary

LWDWL
  • homeRepublic of Ireland2:3
  • awayArmenia1:0
  • awayPortugal2:2
  • homeArmenia2:0
  • homePortugal2:3

Ukraine

LWLWW
  • homeSweden1:3
  • homeIceland2:0
  • awayFrance0:4
  • homeAzerbaijan2:1
  • awayIceland5:3

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Венгрия vs Украина: prediction and stats — VARstats