Istra vs Gorica: result 0:1
Final score 0:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Istra 49%, draw 30%, Gorica 21%.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsIstra4-2-3-1—Gorica4-2-3-1
Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.
Istra 4-2-3-1
Coach: Javi Cabello
Starting XI
1GK
Franko Kolić44DFRene Hrvatin
4DFRaul Kumar16DFSamuli Miettinen
13DF
Niko Šepić88MFDaouda Doumbia
8MF
Antonio Maurić22MFEmil Frederiksen
20MF
Dukan Ahmeti30MFNik Škafar Žužić9FWIsaac
Substitutes
40GK
Jan Paus-Kunšt3DFMohamed Nasraoui
66DFMutari Momoh97DFAdvan Kadušić
25MFDemirel Hodžić23MFStipe Ukich25MFGustavo Albarracín
34MFMatija Kablar11FW
Silvio Goričan27FW
Dominik Celija39FWToni Brajković
Gorica 4-2-3-1
Coach: Mario Carevic
Starting XI
1GK
Renato Josipović2DF
Filip Braut32DF
Jakov Filipović15DF
Dušan Stevanović5DFGonçalo Costa
66MF
Juraj Frigan6MFTom Lacoux
20FW
Luka Vrzić10FW
Fran Brodić25MF
Bruno Bogojević9FW
Patrik Mijić
Substitutes
30GK
Darijan Žarkov71GK
Davor Matijaš34DF
Ivan Cvijanović45DFStefan Perić
4MFKevin Čustović
7MF
Ognjen Bakić8MF
Jakov Pranjić24MF
Domagoj Pavičić26MFKeenan Carole
67MFTomislav Prgomet18FW
Bartol Kardum50FW
Ante Erceg
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedIstra49%
Actual: Gorica — we had 21%
- Total goals LandedUnder 2.561%
- Both teams to score LandedNo56%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Istra
- awaySlaven Belupo Koprivnica2:0
- homeHajduk Split2:2
- awayLokomotiva Zagreb0:2
- awayOsijek3:1
- homeGorica0:1
Gorica
- awayHajduk Split0:5
- homeLokomotiva Zagreb0:0
- awayOsijek1:1
- homeRudes1:2
- awayIstra1:0
Head to head
- 09/19/26Prva HNL0:1
- 04/27/26Prva HNL0:1
- 02/21/26Prva HNL0:2
- 11/23/25Prva HNL0:1
- 08/29/25Prva HNL1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Croatia, Prva HNL: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.


