All matches

Rudes — Dinamo Zagreb, Prva HNL

Croatia, Prva HNL

Rudes
1.6DLLLW
—
Dinamo Zagreb
3.5WDLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
17%21%63%
Rudes17%Draw21%Dinamo Zagreb63%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Rudes17%5.98—
XDraw21%4.86—
2Dinamo Zagreb63%1.59—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.70

No41%

ours 2.44

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricRudesDinamo ZagrebCombined
Goals scored0.670.501.17
Conceded1.500.331.83
Corners9.711.010.3
Cards2.31.03.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

RudesDinamo Zagreb

NK Rudeš 17%, GNK Dinamo Zagreb 63%. The safest is “GNK Dinamo Zagreb or draw” at 82%.

NK Rudeš 17%Draw 21%GNK Dinamo Zagreb 63%
1st half
21 · 34 · 45
2nd half
23 · 34 · 44
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 2.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Rudes

  • homeSlaven Belupo Koprivnica2:2
  • awayIstra2:3
  • homeHajduk Split0:4
  • awayVarazdin0:2
  • homeLokomotiva Zagreb4:1

Dinamo Zagreb

  • homeLokomotiva Zagreb3:2
  • awayHapoel Be'er Sheva0:0
  • awayOsijek2:4
  • homeGorica1:0
  • awayIstra2:2

Head to head

  • 08/14/26Prva HNL0:4

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Dinamo Zagreb751117:916
2Hajduk Split851216:816
3Osijek851217:1116
4Varazdin843113:715
5Rijeka742113:714
6Istra823314:139
7Lokomotiva Zagreb821511:167
8Slaven Belupo Koprivnica82157:167
9Gorica81255:125
10Rudes811610:244

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.