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New England Revolution 4:2 Orlando City, MLS: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

USA, MLSMatch finished

4:2HT 1:0
1.9LDDWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
45%24%32%
New England RevolutionPrice 1.7545%DrawPrice 3.9024%Orlando CityPrice 3.8032%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.27xG1.47
51Possession, %49
17Shots11
9Shots on target5
10Corners3
4Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
7Fouls5
4Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

3 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 65 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    New England Revolution45%
  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.565%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes66%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1New England Revolution45%54%2.241.75-9.6
XDraw24%23%4.243.90+1.0
2Orlando City32%23%3.143.80+8.6

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

New England Revolution

  • homeNew York Red Bulls3:2
  • awayPhiladelphia Union2:1
  • homeChicago Fire1:0
  • awayCincinnati3:2
  • homeSeattle Sounders0:3

Orlando City

  • awayCharlotte0:4
  • awayChicago Fire2:2
  • homeNew York City2:2
  • homeDC United4:1
  • awayToronto3:3

Head to head

  • 09/19/26MLS4:2
  • 07/19/25MLS1:2
  • 05/10/25MLS3:3
  • 09/14/24MLS0:3
  • 07/13/24MLS1:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Nashville SC33228369:2574
2Vancouver Whitecaps33187872:3461
3New England Revolution321841054:4458
4Inter Miami321511675:5556
5Chicago Fire331671061:5055
6Dallas331510859:5055
7Charlotte331581063:4853
8San Jose Earthquakes331410956:4852
9St. Louis City331491058:4851
10Houston Dynamo32149942:3951
11Los Angeles321211950:3547
12Philadelphia Union331381262:5147
13Cincinnati3312101167:7346
14Columbus Crew331351555:4944
15LA Galaxy3311111149:5544
16Colorado Rapids331271446:4743
17Seattle Sounders3311101242:4543
18Orlando City331271462:7843
19Real Salt Lake331261551:5142
20Portland Timbers321171457:6040

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.