Both teams to score
Yes64%
ours 1.55
No36%
ours 2.80
All matches
—
MTK Budapest — Vasas, NB I
Hungary, NB I
MTK Budapest
1.6LLDWD
Vasas
2.0WWLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
37%25%38%
MTK Budapest37%Draw25%Vasas38%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1MTK Budapest2.73—
XDraw3.97—
2Vasas2.62—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMTK BudapestVasasCombined
Goals scored1.171.672.84
Conceded1.331.502.83
Corners10.88.89.8
Cards2.22.44.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
MTK BudapestVasas
MTK Budapest FC 37%, Vasas SC 38%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
MTK Budapest FC 37%Draw 25%Vasas SC 38%
1st half
31 · 39 · 31
2nd half
34 · 34 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
MTK Budapest
- homeETO Gyor1:2
- homeKisvarda1:2
- awayDebrecen2:2
- homeNyiregyhaza Spartacus2:1
- awayUjpest1:1
Vasas
- awayDebrecen4:2
- homeNyiregyhaza Spartacus3:2
- awayUjpest1:3
- homePuskas Akademia0:1
- awayKispest-Honved2:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
ETO Gyor843116:1015
ETO Gyor843116:10152
Puskas Akademia850313:1015
Puskas Akademia850313:10153Vasas842217:1114
Vasas842217:11144
Ujpest842217:1314
Ujpest842217:13145
Ferencvaros733111:812
Ferencvaros733111:8126
Paks832316:1711
Paks832316:17117MTK Budapest823315:149
MTK Budapest823315:1498
Kisvarda82339:109
Kisvarda82339:1099
Debrecen823312:159
Debrecen823312:159Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.