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Le Mans 2:1 Lorient, Ligue 1: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

France, Ligue 1Match finished

1.7LDLLW
2:1HT 1:0
2.0DWWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
42%23%34%
Le MansPrice 2.8942%DrawPrice 3.4323%LorientPrice 2.6534%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.53xG1.03
51Possession, %49
11Shots9
7Shots on target2
1Corners3
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
15Fouls15
0Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

3 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 79 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Le Mans42%
  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.567%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes68%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Le Mans42%34%2.362.89+8.2
XDraw23%29%4.303.43-5.4
2Lorient34%37%2.902.65-2.8

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Le Mans

  • awayTroyes0:2
  • awayAuxerre1:1
  • homeToulouse0:3
  • awayPSG1:3
  • homeLorient2:1

Lorient

  • awayAngers0:0
  • homeMonaco1:0
  • homeParis FC1:0
  • awayLe Mans1:2
  • homeToulouse2:2

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Ligue 12:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Nice942313:1214
9Lens941416:1313
10Lorient83327:612
11Toulouse924312:1310
12Strasbourg931517:1910
13Auxerre931513:2310
14Brest823314:129
15Angers92259:178
16Troyes92257:168
17Le Mans914411:187
18Le Havre90279:202

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.