Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.90
No47%
ours 2.11
All matches
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LASK — Liverpool, UEFA Champions League
Europe, UEFA Champions League
LASK
2.8DLLWW
Liverpool
3.3WDWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
14%78%
LASK8%Draw14%Liverpool78%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1LASK12.87—
XDraw7.20—
2Liverpool1.28—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricLASKLiverpoolCombined
Goals scored1.671.172.84
Conceded1.170.501.67
Corners9.69.29.4
Cards1.82.03.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
LASKLiverpool
LASK Linz 8%, Liverpool FC 78%. The safest is “Liverpool FC or draw” at 92%.
LASK Linz 8%Draw 14%Liverpool FC 78%
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 2.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
LASK
- awayHartberg3:3
- awaySturm Graz1:2
- awayAEK Athens0:1
- awayWolfsberger AC3:1
- homeRheindorf Altach3:0
Liverpool
- awayBournemouth1:0
- homeFulham0:0
- homeAtletico Madrid2:1
- awayIpswich Town2:0
- homeNottingham Forest2:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
38
Aston Villa11003:23
Aston Villa11003:2339
Borussia Dortmund11003:23
Borussia Dortmund11003:2340Liverpool11002:13
Liverpool11002:1341
Real Madrid11002:13
Real Madrid11002:1342
Arsenal11001:03
Arsenal11001:0343LASK31025:53
LASK31025:5344
Lech Poznan21015:53
Lech Poznan21015:5345
Omonia21011:13
Omonia21011:13Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.