Both teams to score
Yes64%
No36%
All matches
Keciorengucu — Manisa FK, 1. Lig: match prediction and stats
Match prediction and stats
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
58%23%19%
Keciorengucu58%Draw23%Manisa FK19%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and second estimate
Our probability next to the second estimate — independent, with no mark-up. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelSecond estimateΔ
1Keciorengucu——
XDraw——
2Manisa FK——
our modelsecond estimate — independent, no mark-up
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the second estimate.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the second estimate.
Combos — with Premium
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals prediction
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3839 matches
Corners prediction
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3828 matches
Cards prediction
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3818 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
KeciorengucuManisa FK
Keçiörengücü Spor Kulübü 58%, Manisa Büyükşehir Belediye Spor Kulübü 19%. The safest is “Keçiörengücü Spor Kulübü or draw” at 81%.
Keçiörengücü Spor Kulübü 58%Draw 23%Manisa Büyükşehir Belediye Spor Kulübü 19%
1st half
46 · 32 · 22
2nd half
42 · 34 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 4.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKeciorengucuManisa FKCombined
Goals scored1.601.403.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other nine metrics — with Premium
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Keciorengucu- Led at half-time in 6 of 10 matches
- Won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings2:1, 2:2, 2:1, 4:0
- 2.0 goals per game at home6 matches
Manisa FK- Winless in 10 matches1:2, 3:4, 1:1, 2:3, 0:1
- Winless away in 5 matches1:2, 2:3, 1:1, 2:4, 2:2
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches11 goals conceded
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Keciorengucu
- awayErokspor2:3
- homeBursaspor2:4
- awayFatih Karagümrük Spor Kulübü2:1
- homeIgdir FK0:0
- awayBodrum Belediyesi Bodrum Spor Kulübü2:0
Manisa FK
- awayMardin Buyuksehir1:2
- homeMuglaspor3:4
- homeErokspor1:1
- awayKayserispor2:3
- homeIstanbulspor0:1
Head to head
- 04/26/261. Lig2:1
- 12/20/251. Lig2:2
- 04/05/251. Lig2:1
- 11/23/241. Lig4:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Turkey, 1. Lig: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the second estimate on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.