Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.78
No44%
ours 2.28
All matches
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Kashima Antlers — Kashiwa Reysol, J1 League
Japan, J1 League
Kashima Antlers
DLLLW
Kashiwa Reysol
WWLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%25%33%
Kashima Antlers42%Draw25%Kashiwa Reysol33%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kashima Antlers2.40—
XDraw3.97—
2Kashiwa Reysol3.02—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKashima AntlersKashiwa ReysolCombined
Goals scored0.671.171.84
Conceded1.001.002.00
Corners7.79.38.5
Cards1.72.03.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Kashima AntlersKashiwa Reysol
Kashima Antlers 42%, Kashiwa Reysol 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Kashima Antlers 42%Draw 25%Kashiwa Reysol 33%
1st half
38 · 40 · 22
2nd half
24 · 38 · 38
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 3.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Kashima Antlers
- awayKawasaki Frontale3:3
- awayVissel Kobe1:2
- homeUrawa Red Diamonds0:1
- awayMito Hollyhock2:4
- awayTokyo Verdy2:0
Kashiwa Reysol
- awayFC Machida Zelvia4:2
- awayKyoto Sanga FC3:2
- homeYokohama F. Marinos0:2
- awayCerezo Osaka0:2
- awayShimizu S-Pulse1:0
Head to head
- 07/20/25J1 League3:2
- 03/08/25J1 League3:1
- 09/21/24J1 League0:0
- 05/06/24J1 League2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Vissel Kobe861112:519
Vissel Kobe861112:5192Kashiwa Reysol860217:1218
Kashiwa Reysol860217:12183
Sanfrecce Hiroshima852120:617
Sanfrecce Hiroshima852120:6174
FC Machida Zelvia852121:1017
FC Machida Zelvia852121:10175
FC Tokyo852114:817
FC Tokyo852114:8176
Yokohama F. Marinos842213:914
Yokohama F. Marinos842213:9147
Kawasaki Frontale834116:1213
Kawasaki Frontale834116:12138Kashima Antlers841317:1613
Kashima Antlers841317:16139
Fagiano Okayama841311:1013
Fagiano Okayama841311:101310
Urawa Red Diamonds840416:1812
Urawa Red Diamonds840416:1812Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.