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Hibernian vs Aberdeen: result 1:1

Scotland, PremiershipMatch finished

Final score 1:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Hibernian 58%, draw 23%, Aberdeen 18%.

Hibernian
1.9DLLLD
1:1HT 0:1
Aberdeen
1.4LLWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
58%23%18%
HibernianPrice 1.7658%DrawPrice 3.7423%AberdeenPrice 4.2818%
Line-upsHibernian3-4-1-2—Aberdeen5-3-2

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Hibernian3-4-1-2Aberdeen5-3-2

Hibernian3-4-1-2

Coach: David Gray

Starting XI

  • 1GKAustriaR. Sallinger
  • 6DFScotlandJ. Kerr
  • 4DFScotlandG. Hanley
  • 15DFAustraliaJ. Iredale
  • 25DFGermanyF. Passlack
  • 8MFScotlandJ. Mulligan
  • 14MFZambiaM. Chaiwa
  • 3FWEnglandA. Mayor
  • 17MFRepublic of IrelandJ. McGrath
  • 10FWAustraliaM. Boyle
  • 7FWEnglandO. Elding

Substitutes

  • 19MFScotlandN. Cadden
  • 24MFEnglandJ. Devaney
  • 18FWTogoT. Klidje
  • 9FWEnglandN. Lowe
  • 11MFEnglandJ. Newell
  • 35GKScotlandF. Owens
  • 22FWCroatiaA. Šuto
  • 12DFWalesAlex Williams
  • 23MFEnglandC. Wright

Aberdeen5-3-2

Coach: S. Robinson

Starting XI

  • 27GKGermanyM. Müller
  • 28DFScotlandC. Cadden
  • 5DFNetherlandsM. Knoester
  • 22DFScotlandJ. Milne
  • 21MFRepublic of IrelandG. Molloy
  • 24DFEnglandN. Guinness-Walker
  • 32MFNigeriaA. Aremu
  • 40MFScotlandF. Marshall
  • 25MFRepublic of IrelandC. Ronan
  • 20FWEnglandT. Olusanya
  • 15FWScotlandK. Nisbet

Substitutes

  • 17MFScotlandS. Armstrong
  • 10MFAustriaA. Briedl
  • 2DFScotlandN. Devlin
  • 26DFEnglandD. Happe
  • 30GKGermanyD. Klein
  • 14FWFranceH. Mahou
  • 9FWMoroccoA. Mouloua
  • 11MFEnglandLewis Smith
  • 7MFEnglandTony Yogane

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.25xG0.85
52Possession, %48
12Shots9
2Shots on target2
6Corners9
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
12Fouls11
2Offsides3

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 80 of 98void — 2
  • Match result Missed
    Hibernian58%

    Actual: Draw — we had 23%

  • Total goals Landed
    Under 2.552%
  • Both teams to score Missed
    No53%

    Actual: Yes — we had 47%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Hibernian58%55%1.711.76+3.8
XDraw23%24%4.263.74-0.9
2Aberdeen18%21%5.514.28-2.9

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Hibernian

  • awaySt. Mirren1:1
  • homeCeltic1:2
  • homeFalkirk1:2
  • awayDundee United0:1
  • homeAberdeen1:1

Aberdeen

  • homeFalkirk0:1
  • awayDundee United2:3
  • homeSt. Mirren3:1
  • homeSaint Johnstone0:1
  • awayHibernian1:1

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Premiership1:1
  • 04/11/26Premiership0:2
  • 12/30/25Premiership2:0
  • 10/26/25Premiership2:1
  • 04/26/25Premiership0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8St. Mirren1242612:2014
9Motherwell1233614:2012
10Aberdeen1132612:1411
11Kilmarnock1223713:289
12Hibernian1122711:178

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Played

Falkirk2:0Celtic151867×Kilmarnock2:2Saint Johnstone452629×Dundee United0:0HeartsPostponed

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.