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Dinamo Zagreb vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: result 3:2

Croatia, Prva HNLMatch finished

Final score 3:2. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Dinamo Zagreb 80%, draw 13%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 7%.

3:2HT 2:1
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
80%13%
Dinamo ZagrebPrice 1.1780%DrawPrice 7.1013%Lokomotiva ZagrebPrice 12.107%
Line-upsDinamo Zagreb4-3-3—Lokomotiva Zagreb4-1-4-1

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Dinamo Zagreb4-3-3Lokomotiva Zagreb4-1-4-1

Dinamo Zagreb4-3-3

Coach: Mario Kovacevic

Starting XI

  • 24GKCroatiaDominik Kotarski
  • 13DFPhilippinesPaul Bismarck Tabinas
  • 15DFCroatiaNiko Galešić
  • 6DFBosnia and HerzegovinaStjepan Radeljić
  • 22DFSwedenMatteo Pérez Vinlöf
  • 10MFCroatiaLuka Stojković
  • 27MFCroatiaJosip Mišić
  • 80MFCroatiaLukas Kačavenda
  • 21FWCroatiaMateo Lisica
  • 9FWCroatiaDion Drena Beljo
  • 17FWCroatiaLuka Ivanušec

Substitutes

  • 44GKCroatiaIvan Filipović
  • 3DFCroatiaBruno Goda
  • 25DFCroatiaMoris Valinčić
  • 26DFScotlandScott McKenna
  • 36DFSpainSergi Domínguez
  • 5MFRussiaKirill Kravtsov
  • 8MFSloveniaMiha Zajc
  • 30FWSpainIker Almena
  • 99FWCroatiaMislav Oršić
  • 11FWKosovoArber Hoxha
  • 14FWBosnia and HerzegovinaSmail Prevljak
  • 30FWCroatiaFran Topić

Lokomotiva Zagreb4-1-4-1

Coach: Nikica Jelavic

Starting XI

  • 12GKCroatiaJosip Posavec
  • 13DFAustraliaFran Karačić
  • 4DFGreeceAthanasios Triantafyllou
  • 5DFCroatiaMarijan Čabraja
  • 20DFCroatiaKristijan Čabrajić
  • 6MFNorth MacedoniaFeta Fetai
  • 23MFMontenegroMarko Vešović
  • 9MFCroatiaLeon Belcar
  • 8MFCroatiaIvan Katić
  • 7MFMontenegroDušan Vuković
  • 28FWCroatiaNoel Đurković

Substitutes

  • 32GKCroatiaLuka Savatović
  • 21DFTeodor Kralevski
  • 2MFCroatiaJakov Gurlica
  • 10MFCroatiaMatija Subotić
  • 14MFSloveniaMarcel Lorber
  • 25MFPavle Smiljanić
  • 26MFKosovoDardan Morina
  • 30MFDuje Reić
  • 15FWCroatiaDominik Thaqi
  • 22FWCroatiaMate Antunović
  • 24FWCroatiaMirko Marić

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.99xG1.55
57Possession, %43
19Shots14
6Shots on target5
7Corners4
1Yellow cards4
1Red cards1
17Fouls16
1Offsides3

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

3 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 79 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Dinamo Zagreb80%
  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.572%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes53%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Dinamo Zagreb80%84%1.251.17-3.8
XDraw13%11%7.437.10+2.8
2Lokomotiva Zagreb7%6%14.8112.10+1.0

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Dinamo Zagreb

  • awayRudes0:1
  • homeRijeka2:1
  • homeNEC Nijmegen2:4
  • awaySlaven Belupo Koprivnica5:1
  • homeAnderlecht1:0

Lokomotiva Zagreb

  • homeOsijek1:3
  • awayGorica0:0
  • homeIstra2:0
  • homeVarazdin0:1
  • awayDinamo Zagreb2:3

Head to head

  • 09/20/26Prva HNL3:2
  • 05/23/26Prva HNL0:0
  • 03/21/26Prva HNL5:0
  • 12/20/25Prva HNL2:0
  • 10/05/25Prva HNL1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Hajduk Split1282226:1126
2Dinamo Zagreb1171325:1422
3Osijek1262422:1720
4Varazdin1254316:1119
5Rijeka1153318:1518
6Istra1244421:1816
8Rudes1241715:2713
9Lokomotiva Zagreb1232714:2011
10Gorica121477:207

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.