Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.19
All matches
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Zemun — Macva Sabac, SuperLiga
Serbia, SuperLiga
Zemun
1.5DDLLL
Macva Sabac
1.7LLDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
40%28%33%
Zemun40%Draw28%Macva Sabac33%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Zemun2.53—
XDraw3.58—
2Macva Sabac3.08—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricZemunMacva SabacCombined
Goals scored0.670.331.00
Conceded1.170.832.00
Corners9.08.88.9
Cards3.02.85.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
ZemunMacva Sabac
FK Zemun 40%, FK Mačva Šabac 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 71%.
FK Zemun 40%Draw 28%FK Mačva Šabac 33%
1st half
32 · 43 · 25
2nd half
32 · 39 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Zemun
- awayNovi Pazar2:2
- homeRadnik Surdulica1:1
- awayVojvodina1:2
- homeRed Star Belgrade0:2
- awayOFK Beograd0:1
Macva Sabac
- homeMladost Lucani1:2
- awayZeleznicar Pancevo0:2
- homeRadnicki Kragujevac0:0
- awayNovi Pazar1:1
- homeRadnicki Nis1:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11
Partizan922517:198
Partizan922517:19812
Radnicki Nis92256:118
Radnicki Nis92256:11813Macva Sabac102266:178
Macva Sabac102266:17814Zemun100376:193
Zemun100376:193Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.