All matches

Zeljeznicar vs Borac Banja Luka prediction

Bosnia and Herzegovina, Premier League

VARStats prediction for 21 November: Borac Banja Luka 70%, draw 19%, Zeljeznicar 11%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

2.0LLDLD
  
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
11%19%70%
Zeljeznicar11%Draw19%Borac Banja Luka70%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Zeljeznicar11%9.12—
XDraw19%5.26—
2Borac Banja Luka70%1.43—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes45%

Fair price 2.22

No55%

Fair price 1.82

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4493 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4478 matches

Cards prediction

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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4463 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

ZeljeznicarBorac Banja Luka

FK Željezničar Sarajevo 11%, FK Borac Banja Luka 70%. The safest is “FK Borac Banja Luka or draw” at 88%.

FK Željezničar Sarajevo 11%Draw 19%FK Borac Banja Luka 70%
1st half
14 · 42 · 43
2nd half
15 · 35 · 50
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricZeljeznicarBorac Banja LukaCombined
Goals scored0.602.202.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Zeljeznicar
  • schedule13 days’ rest
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches11 goals conceded
  • Winless in 6 matches0:4, 0:2, 1:1, 1:3, 1:1
  • 9th of 10 for shots on target — 2.1 per match10 teams in the league
Borac Banja Luka
  • schedule14 days’ rest
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 54:2, 2:0, 2:0, 1:2, 2:0
  • 3 wins in a row4:2, 2:0, 2:0, 1:2, 2:0
  • Most shots in the league — 13.2 per match10 teams in the league

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Zeljeznicar

  • homeZrinjski0:4
  • awayFK Sarajevo0:2
  • awayBSK Banja Luka1:1
  • awayRadnik Bijeljina1:3
  • homeCelik Zenica1:1

Borac Banja Luka

  • awayCelik Zenica4:2
  • homeSloga Doboj2:0
  • homeKuPS2:0
  • awayPanathinaikos1:2
  • homeBSK Banja Luka2:0

Head to head

  • 09/02/26Premier League0:2
  • 05/16/26Premier League0:1
  • 03/14/26Premier League0:1
  • 11/29/25Premier League1:2
  • 09/15/25Premier League3:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Zrinjski12110131:733
2Borac Banja Luka1191123:928
3FK Sarajevo1254310:719
4Siroki Brijeg1235411:1314
5BSK Banja Luka1234517:2013
6Zeljeznicar1234512:1913
7Radnik Bijeljina1225518:2211
8Velez Mostar113269:1711

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.