All matches

Borac Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo prediction

Bosnia and Herzegovina, Premier League

VARStats prediction for 28 November: Borac Banja Luka 61%, draw 24%, FK Sarajevo 15%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

  
2.8DWDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
61%24%15%
Borac Banja Luka61%Draw24%FK Sarajevo15%

Borac Banja Luka played in the Conference League 1 day ago · short rest

Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
Available with PremiumUnlock

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Borac Banja Luka61%1.64—
XDraw24%4.12—
2FK Sarajevo15%6.84—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes42%

Fair price 2.38

No58%

Fair price 1.72

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction opens with Premium.

Over 9.5 corners

This prediction opens with Premium.

Goals and corners — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

Combos — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4493 matches

Corners prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4478 matches

Cards prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4463 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Borac Banja LukaFK Sarajevo

FK Borac Banja Luka 61%, FK Sarajevo 15%. The safest is “FK Borac Banja Luka or draw” at 83%.

FK Borac Banja Luka 61%Draw 24%FK Sarajevo 15%
1st half
35 · 47 · 18
2nd half
43 · 37 · 20
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total offsides: Under 2.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricBorac Banja LukaFK SarajevoCombined
Goals scored2.201.203.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Borac Banja Luka
  • schedule3 matches in 8 days
  • Unbeaten at home in 7 matches2:0, 2:0, 2:0, 1:0, 2:0
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 54:2, 2:0, 2:0, 1:2, 2:0
  • 3 wins in a row4:2, 2:0, 2:0, 1:2, 2:0
FK Sarajevo
  • schedule7 days’ rest
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 51:1, 2:0, 1:1, 0:0, 2:0
  • Winless away in 5 matches1:1, 1:1, 0:0, 0:1, 0:2
  • Best defence in the league — 7 conceded in 12 matches3rd place, 19 points

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Borac Banja Luka

  • awayCelik Zenica4:2
  • homeSloga Doboj2:0
  • homeKuPS2:0
  • awayPanathinaikos1:2
  • homeBSK Banja Luka2:0

FK Sarajevo

  • awayBSK Banja Luka1:1
  • homeZeljeznicar2:0
  • awayRadnik Bijeljina1:1
  • awayCelik Zenica0:0
  • homeSloga Doboj2:0

Head to head

  • 09/06/26Premier League0:1
  • 05/03/26Premier League1:0
  • 02/28/26Premier League2:0
  • 11/08/25Premier League0:1
  • 08/24/25Premier League5:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Zrinjski12110131:733
2Borac Banja Luka1191123:928
3FK Sarajevo1254310:719
4Siroki Brijeg1235411:1314
5BSK Banja Luka1234517:2013

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.