Twente vs PSV: result 3:2
Final score 3:2. Before kick-off VARStats gave: PSV 51%, Twente 27%, draw 22%.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedPSV51%
Actual: Twente — we had 27%
- Total goals LandedOver 2.573%
- Both teams to score LandedYes72%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Twente
- awayExcelsior9:0
- awayAZ Alkmaar2:0
- awayLincoln Red Imps4:1
- homeUtrecht1:2
- homeThun1:0
PSV
- homeWillem II7:0
- homeFeyenoord1:1
- awayPorto1:0
- awayADO Den Haag1:2
- awayRB Leipzig0:1
Head to head
- 09/20/26Eredivisie3:2
- 05/17/26Eredivisie1:5
- 08/17/25Eredivisie0:2
- 04/24/25Eredivisie1:3
- 12/06/24Eredivisie1:6
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Netherlands, Eredivisie: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.


