Noah 2:0 Van, Premier League
Armenia, Premier LeagueMatch finished
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result LandedNoah87%
- Total goals MissedOver 2.572%
Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 28%
- Both teams to score LandedNo58%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Form and context
Noah
- homeVan2:0
- awayUrartu3:0
- homeGandzasar Kapan3:2
- homeArarat Yerevan4:0
- awayBKMA1:0
Van
- homeGandzasar Kapan2:0
- awayNoah0:2
- homeBKMA2:1
- awayAlashkert0:4
- homeShirak0:4
Head to head
- 09/18/26Premier League2:0
- 04/20/26Premier League2:0
- 12/02/25Premier League0:0
- 09/24/25Premier League2:1
- 05/04/25Premier League2:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
Noah880021:524
Ararat-Armenia962118:920
Pyunik853018:818
Alashkert944119:716
Sardarapat833214:1212
Urartu832312:1011
Shirak831411:1010
Ararat Yerevan83056:139
BKMA82248:108Van92166:217
Gandzasar Kapan91088:223
Syunik80263:172Full breakdown
Every market of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.