All matches

Milsami 3:3 Politehnica UTM, National Division

Moldova, National DivisionMatch finished

Milsami
2.2DWLWD
3:3HT 2:1
Politehnica UTM
1.5DLLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
60%25%16%
MilsamiMarket 1.4960%DrawMarket 3.8025%Politehnica UTMMarket 5.7216%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.99xG1.68
52Possession, %48
10Shots9
8Shots on target7
2Corners5
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
13Fouls7
4Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main markets landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast markets: landed 194 of 258void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Milsami60%

    Actual: Draw — we had 25%

  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.554%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes56%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Milsami60%67%1.681.49-7.5
XDraw25%26%4.033.80-1.5
2Politehnica UTM16%17%6.405.72-1.9

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Form and context

Milsami

  • homePolitehnica UTM3:3
  • awaySireti2:1
  • homeSheriff0:1
  • awayCSF Balti3:1
  • awayCSCA Buiucani0:0

Politehnica UTM

  • awayMilsami3:3
  • homePetrocub0:1
  • awayZimbru1:2
  • homeCSCA Buiucani2:1
  • homeSireti0:0

Head to head

  • 10/11/26National Division3:3
  • 08/08/26National Division1:1
  • 10/18/25National Division5:0
  • 08/17/25National Division4:1
  • 06/28/25National Division3:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Petrocub1474325:1425
4CSCA Buiucani1462619:2120
5Milsami1446416:2018
6Politehnica UTM1444621:2216
7Sireti1417611:1910
8CSF Balti1412119:455

Full breakdown

Every market of the forecast published before the match.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.