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Everton vs Ipswich Town: result 1:0

England, Premier LeagueMatch finished

Final score 1:0. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Everton 64%, draw 22%, Ipswich Town 14%.

Everton
1.9LLDWD
1:0HT 1:0
Ipswich Town
1.0DDLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
64%22%14%
EvertonPrice 1.8664%DrawPrice 3.9222%Ipswich TownPrice 4.5114%
Line-upsEverton4-2-3-1—Ipswich Town4-2-3-1

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Everton4-2-3-1Ipswich Town4-2-3-1

Everton4-2-3-1

Coach: D. Moyes

Starting XI

  • 1GKEnglandJ. Pickford
  • 2DFEnglandA. Maitland-Niles
  • 6DFEnglandJ. Tarkowski
  • 4DFEnglandJ. Branthwaite
  • 16DFUkraineV. Mykolenko
  • 45MFEnglandH. Armstrong
  • 37MFEnglandJ. Garner
  • 22MFWalesB. Johnson
  • 8MFEnglandK. Dewsbury-Hall
  • 10MFEnglandJ. Grealish
  • 11FWFranceT. Barry

Substitutes

  • 58FWNorthern IrelandB. Graham
  • 19FWEnglandTyrique George
  • 30MFScotlandH. Hackney
  • 24MFArgentinaC. Alcaraz
  • 20FWEnglandT. Dibling
  • 15DFRepublic of IrelandJ. O'Brien
  • 5DFEnglandM. Keane
  • 31GKWalesT. King
  • 12GKRepublic of IrelandM. Travers

Ipswich Town4-2-3-1

Coach: G. O'Neil

Starting XI

  • 28GKEnglandC. Walton
  • 42DFFranceA. Ouattara
  • 6DFFranceI. Diop
  • 26DFRepublic of IrelandD. O'Shea
  • 3DFEnglandL. Davis
  • 23MFSerbiaS. Lukić
  • 25MFArgentinaE. Palacios
  • 7MFGhanaA. Fatawu
  • 10MFParaguayJ. Enciso
  • 47MFEnglandJ. Clarke
  • 19FWBrazilEmersonn

Substitutes

  • 9FWNetherlandsZ. Flemming
  • 29FWEnglandC. Akpom
  • 38FWJapanD. Maeda
  • 11FWEnglandJ. Philogene
  • 32MFChileM. Núñez
  • 12MFPortugalFlorentino
  • 2DFEnglandD. Furlong
  • 24DFEnglandJ. Greaves
  • 37GKNetherlandsK. Scherpen

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.87xG1.47
52Possession, %48
21Shots13
2Shots on target4
4Corners4
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
6Fouls12
1Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 81 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Everton64%
  • Total goals Missed
    Over 2.557%

    Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 43%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    Yes53%

    Actual: No — we had 47%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Everton64%53%1.561.86+11.0
XDraw22%25%4.503.92-2.8
2Ipswich Town14%22%7.414.51-8.2

Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Everton

  • awayArsenal0:2
  • homeChelsea0:2
  • awayHull City2:2
  • homeIpswich Town1:0
  • awayTottenham0:0

Ipswich Town

  • awayHull City2:2
  • homeNottingham Forest1:1
  • awayManchester City2:3
  • homeFulham2:1
  • awayEverton0:1

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Premier League1:0
  • 05/03/25Premier League2:2
  • 10/19/24Premier League2:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Leeds United92529:811
12Newcastle United832312:1411
13Ipswich Town932414:1811
14Everton82428:910
15Fulham92349:119
16Coventry City93069:169

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Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.