Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.89book 1.95
No47%
ours 2.12book 1.77
All matches
Envigado FC — Independiente Yumbo, Primera B
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
45%28%27%
Envigado FCMarket 1.8245%DrawMarket 3.3028%Independiente YumboMarket 4.0327%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
Available with PremiumUnlock
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Envigado FC2.201.82-4.5
XDraw3.583.30+0.4
2Independiente Yumbo3.764.03+4.1
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
This market opens with Premium.
Over 9.5 corners
This market opens with Premium.
Goals and corners — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Combos — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with Premium.
72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3612 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3602 matches
Cards
This market opens with Premium.
72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3593 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Envigado FCIndependiente Yumbo
Envigado FC 45%, Independiente Yumbo 27%. The safest is “Envigado FC or draw” at 73%.
Envigado FC 45%Draw 28%Independiente Yumbo 27%
1st half
29 · 48 · 22
2nd half
40 · 33 · 26
Bookmakers: 1.82 · 3.30 · 4.03
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total offsides: Over 3.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricEnvigado FCIndependiente YumboCombined
Goals scored1.601.202.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other nine metrics — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Envigado FC- Unbeaten in 10 matches2:0, 1:0, 1:1, 1:1, 3:3
- Unbeaten at home in 6 matches1:0, 1:1, 1:1, 0:0, 3:0
- League leaders — 64 points from 38 matches
Independiente Yumbo- Best defence in the league — 23 conceded in 30 matches7th place, 47 points
- 2 goals or fewer in 4 of the last 5
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Envigado FC
- awayPatriotas FC2:0
- homeBarranquilla1:0
- homeReal Santander1:1
- homeInternacional de Palmira1:1
- awayBogota FC3:3
Independiente Yumbo
- awayReal Cundinamarca0:1
- homeBoca Juniors de Cali3:0
- awayAD Unión Magdalena1:1
- homeTigres1:1
- awayPatriotas FC1:0
Head to head
- 08/03/26Primera B1:1
- 01/31/26Primera B2:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Colombia, Primera B: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.