All matches

Boca Juniors de Cali — AD Unión Magdalena, Primera B

Colombia, Primera B

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
26%27%47%
Boca Juniors de Cali26%Draw27%AD Unión Magdalena47%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Boca Juniors de Cali26%3.79—
XDraw27%3.72—
2AD Unión Magdalena47%2.14—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.77

No44%

ours 2.29

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3612 matches

Corners

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3602 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3593 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Boca Juniors de CaliAD Unión Magdalena

Club Atlético Boca Juniors de Cali 26%, AD Unión Magdalena 47%. The safest is “AD Unión Magdalena or draw” at 74%.

Club Atlético Boca Juniors de Cali 26%Draw 27%AD Unión Magdalena 47%
1st half
27 · 42 · 31
2nd half
21 · 34 · 45
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricBoca Juniors de CaliAD Unión MagdalenaCombined
Goals scored0.601.201.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Boca Juniors de Cali
  • 2nd in the league for corners — 9.6 per match16 teams in the league
  • One win in the last 5 matches2:1, 0:3, 0:1, 0:1, 1:1
AD Unión Magdalena
  • Unbeaten in 8 matches1:0, 1:0, 1:1, 2:2, 1:1
  • Unbeaten away in 4 matches1:0, 1:1, 3:1, 2:1, 1:2
  • 2 goals or fewer in 4 of the last 5

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Boca Juniors de Cali

  • homeInternacional de Palmira2:1
  • awayIndependiente Yumbo0:3
  • homeAtletico FC0:1
  • awayOrsomarso0:1
  • homeAD Unión Magdalena1:1

AD Unión Magdalena

  • homeAtletico FC1:0
  • awayInternacional de Palmira1:0
  • homeIndependiente Yumbo1:1
  • homeLeones2:2
  • awayBoca Juniors de Cali1:1

Head to head

  • 10/07/26Primera B1:1
  • 02/09/26Primera B2:0
  • 10/22/24Primera B0:1
  • 05/12/24Primera B0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Deportes Quindio361810838:2664
3Real Cartagena381613960:4361
4AD Unión Magdalena361710950:3461
6Tigres3613111236:3150
7Independiente Yumbo301211733:2347
8Bogota FC3610141230:3644
9Real Cundinamarca3010101034:3140
10Barranquilla3610101644:4840
11Patriotas FC30981330:4035
12Boca Juniors de Cali308101235:4034
13Orsomarso308101224:3134
14Atletico FC30691528:4427

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.