Dundee 2:1 Motherwell, Premiership: result, stats and how the prediction went
Result and how the prediction went
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsDundee4-2-3-1—Motherwell4-2-3-1
Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.
Dundee4-2-3-1
Coach: S. Pressley
Starting XI
1GKO. Goodman
7MFD. Wright
4DF
R. Astley5DF
O. Bevan12DFI. Samuels
28MF
C. Jones48MFE. Hamilton
16MFJ. Moorhouse
19FWJ. Westley
14MFA. Forrest
21FWB. Fink
Substitutes
52DFC. Oosenbrugh9FWB. Wales
6DFM. Akinmboni
27MFJ. Bevan
60MFR. Bland2DFB. Halliday
47MFA. Leiper13GKK. O'Hara
3DFI. Odutayo
Motherwell4-2-3-1
Coach: Alfred Johansson
Starting XI
1GKA. Paulsen
7MF
T. Sparrow3DFJ. Girdwood-Reich
5DFM. Moormann
45MFM. Emmanuel
8MFL. Fadinger
71MFJ. Hodge
47FWS. Palmer-Houlden
11MFA. Lowry
19FWI. Said
18FWTawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Substitutes
17MFR. Charles-Cook
13MFJ. Kanga
4DFJamie Knight-Lebel
63MF
D. Levitt21GKM. Connelly
2DFS. O'Donnell
77FWW. Vogt
20DFDylan Williams
15FWE. Björgólfsson
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedMotherwell43%
Actual: Dundee — we had 31%
- Total goals LandedOver 2.551%
- Both teams to score LandedYes54%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Dundee
- homeKilmarnock3:1
- awaySt. Mirren1:2
- homeRangers2:2
- awayFalkirk2:1
- homeMotherwell2:1
Motherwell
- homeSt. Mirren1:0
- awaySaint Johnstone2:2
- homeHearts0:2
- awayKilmarnock2:3
- homeCeltic0:2
Head to head
- 09/19/26Premiership2:1
- 03/07/26Premiership2:1
- 12/20/25Premiership0:1
- 09/13/25Premiership1:1
- 05/03/25Premiership1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Scotland, Premiership: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.


