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Columbus Crew II 1:1 Carolina Core, MLS Next Pro: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

USA, MLS Next ProMatch finished

1:1HT 0:1
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
53%22%25%
Columbus Crew IIPrice 1.7053%DrawPrice 3.7022%Carolina CorePrice 3.8025%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.66xG1.36
53Possession, %47
15Shots11
3Shots on target4
7Corners1
1Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
9Fouls5
0Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 75 of 98void — 2
  • Match result Missed
    Columbus Crew II53%

    Actual: Draw — we had 22%

  • Total goals Missed
    Over 2.565%

    Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 35%

  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes64%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Columbus Crew II53%55%1.881.70-1.8
XDraw22%23%4.573.70-1.0
2Carolina Core25%22%4.023.80+2.7

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Columbus Crew II

  • awayCrown Legacy2:1
  • homeNew England Revolution II2:1
  • homeCarolina Core1:1
  • homeNew England Revolution II1:1
  • awayToronto FC II2:4

Carolina Core

  • awayColumbus Crew II1:1
  • awayCrown Legacy2:2
  • homeNew England Revolution II2:2
  • awayChattanooga2:5
  • homeCincinnati II1:3

Head to head

  • 09/20/26MLS Next Pro1:1
  • 06/28/25MLS Next Pro1:0
  • 09/22/24MLS Next Pro0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Portland Timbers II301510539:3055
6Houston Dynamo II29147855:3549
7Columbus Crew II30147953:4549
8LAFC 2311310854:5049
9Atlanta United II291451062:4747
10New York Red Bulls II301451162:5147
11Connecticut United301521361:5547
12New York City II291351151:4744
14Minnesota United II291261145:4242
15Orlando City II281261056:5542
16Huntsville City291261150:5042
17Philadelphia Union II281251137:4041
18San Jose Earthquakes II301171256:4240
19St. Louis City II291010942:4240
20Tacoma Defiance291161244:4839
21Toronto FC II281141348:5637
22Chicago Fire II281051349:4935
23North Texas288101042:4134
24Real Monarchs SLC28851538:5529
25Carolina Core285111240:5326
26Vancouver Whitecaps II28741740:6125

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.