Both teams to score
Yes64%
ours 1.55
No36%
ours 2.81
All matches
Ventura County — LAFC 2, MLS Next Pro
USA, MLS Next Pro
Ventura County
2.5WWLWW
LAFC 2
1.8WDLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
53%21%25%
Ventura County53%Draw21%LAFC 225%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Ventura County1.87—
XDraw4.69—
2LAFC 23.96—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3521 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3510 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3490 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Ventura CountyLAFC 2
Ventura County FC 53%, Los Angeles Football Club 2 25%. The safest is “No draw” at 79%.
Ventura County FC 53%Draw 21%Los Angeles Football Club 2 25%
1st half
40 · 36 · 24
2nd half
43 · 30 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total offsides: Over 1.5
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricVentura CountyLAFC 2Combined
Goals scored2.202.204.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Ventura County- Unbeaten at home in 8 matches3:2, 3:0, 2:2, 6:1, 3:0
- 11 goals in the last 5 matches1:0, 3:2, 1:2, 3:0, 3:1
- Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5
LAFC 2- 11 goals in the last 5 matches1:0, 2:2, 2:3, 5:1, 1:1
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches7 goals conceded
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 51:0, 2:2, 2:3, 5:1, 1:1
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Ventura County
- awayPortland Timbers II1:0
- homeMinnesota United II3:2
- awayReal Monarchs SLC1:2
- homeTacoma Defiance3:0
- awaySan Jose Earthquakes II3:1
LAFC 2
- awayAustin II1:0
- awayHouston Dynamo II2:2
- awayMinnesota United II2:3
- awaySporting Kansas City II5:1
- homeVentura County1:1
Head to head
- 09/06/26MLS Next Pro1:1
- 07/19/26MLS Next Pro2:0
- 05/17/26MLS Next Pro2:3
- 07/21/25MLS Next Pro1:3
- 07/21/25MLS Next Pro3:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Chattanooga30177662:4158
Chattanooga30177662:41583
Crown Legacy30168670:4256
Crown Legacy30168670:42564
Ventura County30167762:3855
Ventura County30167762:38555
Portland Timbers II301510539:3055
Portland Timbers II301510539:30556
Houston Dynamo II29147855:3549
Houston Dynamo II29147855:35497
Columbus Crew II30147953:4549
Columbus Crew II30147953:45498
Atlanta United II291451062:4747
Atlanta United II291451062:47479
New York Red Bulls II301451162:5147
New York Red Bulls II301451162:514710
Connecticut United301521361:5547
Connecticut United301521361:554711
LAFC 2301210853:5046
LAFC 2301210853:504612
New York City II291351151:4744
New York City II291351151:474413
New England Revolution II29128948:4444
New England Revolution II29128948:4444Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.