Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.75
No43%
ours 2.34
All matches
Austin II — LAFC 2, MLS Next Pro
USA, MLS Next Pro
Austin II
2.9WWWWL
LAFC 2
1.7DLWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
59%21%20%
Austin II59%Draw21%LAFC 220%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Austin II1.70—
XDraw4.71—
2LAFC 25.03—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
This market opens with Premium.
Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Combos — with Premium
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2721 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2715 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2706 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Austin IILAFC 2
Austin FC II 59%, Los Angeles Football Club 2 20%. The safest is “Austin FC II or draw” at 81%.
Austin FC II 59%Draw 21%Los Angeles Football Club 2 20%
1st half
44 · 38 · 18
2nd half
39 · 36 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots: Over 23.5
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAustin IILAFC 2Combined
Goals scored1.602.404.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Austin II- 3 clean sheets in the last 52:1, 2:0, 1:0, 2:0, 1:2
- 4 wins in a row2:1, 2:0, 1:0, 2:0, 1:2
- Unbeaten at home in 5 matches2:1, 1:0, 1:0, 4:1, 1:0
LAFC 2- 12 goals in the last 5 matches2:2, 2:3, 5:1, 1:1, 2:3
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches10 goals conceded
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 52:2, 2:3, 5:1, 1:1, 2:3
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Austin II
- homeSan Jose Earthquakes II2:1
- awaySt. Louis City II2:0
- homeColorado Rapids II1:0
- awayHouston Dynamo II2:0
- awayPortland Timbers II1:2
LAFC 2
- awayHouston Dynamo II2:2
- awayMinnesota United II2:3
- awaySporting Kansas City II5:1
- homeVentura County1:1
- awaySan Jose Earthquakes II2:3
Head to head
- 06/08/26MLS Next Pro2:0
- 08/30/25MLS Next Pro1:0
- 07/05/25MLS Next Pro4:1
- 07/05/25MLS Next Pro2:1
- 05/25/24MLS Next Pro1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Austin II29206356:2266
Austin II29206356:22662
Crown Legacy29168569:4056
Crown Legacy29168569:40563
Chattanooga29167659:4055
Chattanooga29167659:40554
Portland Timbers II291510439:2955
Portland Timbers II291510439:29555
Ventura County29157761:3852
Ventura County29157761:38526
Houston Dynamo II29147855:3549
Houston Dynamo II29147855:35497
Atlanta United II291451062:4747
Atlanta United II291451062:47478
New York Red Bulls II301451162:5147
New York Red Bulls II301451162:51479
Connecticut United291521260:5247
Connecticut United291521260:524710
Columbus Crew II29137951:4446
Columbus Crew II29137951:444611
New York City II291351151:4744
New York City II291351151:474412
New England Revolution II29128948:4444
New England Revolution II29128948:444413
LAFC 2291110852:5043
LAFC 2291110852:504314
Minnesota United II291261145:4242
Minnesota United II291261145:424215
Orlando City II281261056:5542
Orlando City II281261056:5542Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.