Both teams to score
Yes63%
Fair price 1.59
No37%
Fair price 2.69
All matches
Sportivo Trinidense vs Recoleta prediction
Paraguay, Division Profesional
VARStats prediction for 25 November: Sportivo Trinidense 54%, draw 25%, Recoleta 21%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
54%25%21%
Sportivo Trinidense54%Draw25%Recoleta21%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Sportivo Trinidense1.84—
XDraw4.00—
2Recoleta4.87—
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals prediction
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4493 matches
Corners prediction
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4478 matches
Cards prediction
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4463 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Sportivo TrinidenseRecoleta
Club Sportivo Trinidense 54%, CD Recoleta 21%. The safest is “Club Sportivo Trinidense or draw” at 78%.
Club Sportivo Trinidense 54%Draw 25%CD Recoleta 21%
1st half
34 · 43 · 22
2nd half
48 · 28 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSportivo TrinidenseRecoletaCombined
Goals scored1.601.202.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Sportivo Trinidense- schedule7 days’ rest
- Most yellow cards in the league — 2.5 per match12 teams in the league
- Won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings3:1, 3:2, 1:1, 2:3, 4:2
- 3rd in the table — 62 points from 39 matches
Recoleta- schedule7 days’ rest
- Winless away in 6 matches1:1, 0:1, 0:0, 0:1, 0:2
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Sportivo Trinidense
- homeRubio Nu2:4
- awayNacional1:0
- homeLibertad1:0
- awaySportivo San Lorenzo1:1
- homeSportivo Luqueno3:2
Recoleta
- homeSportivo Ameliano3:0
- away2 de Mayo1:1
- homeRubio Nu1:0
- awayNacional0:1
- homeLibertad1:2
Head to head
- 09/12/26Division Profesional3:1
- 03/23/26Division Profesional3:2
- 01/23/26Division Profesional1:1
- 09/14/25Division Profesional2:3
- 07/04/25Division Profesional4:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Paraguay, Division Profesional: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.