All matches

Sportivo Luqueno vs Recoleta: result 1:0

Paraguay, Division ProfesionalMatch finished

Final score 1:0. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Recoleta 42%, Sportivo Luqueno 34%, draw 25%.

1:0HT 0:0
1.7WDWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
34%25%42%
Sportivo Luqueno34%Draw25%Recoleta42%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.55xG1.45
50Possession, %50
14Shots14
4Shots on target4
5Corners10
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
6Fouls7
0Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

0 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 67 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Recoleta42%

    Actual: Sportivo Luqueno — we had 34%

  • Total goals Missed
    Over 2.566%

    Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 34%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    Yes68%

    Actual: No — we had 32%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Sportivo Luqueno34%2.96—
XDraw25%4.07—
2Recoleta42%2.40—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Sportivo Luqueno

  • homeNacional0:3
  • awayLibertad0:1
  • homeSportivo San Lorenzo3:2
  • homeCerro Porteno0:3
  • awaySportivo Trinidense2:3

Recoleta

  • homeSportivo Ameliano3:0
  • away2 de Mayo1:1
  • homeRubio Nu1:0
  • awayNacional0:1
  • homeLibertad1:2

Head to head

  • 09/20/26Division Profesional1:0
  • 04/11/26Division Profesional2:1
  • 02/13/26Division Profesional2:1
  • 11/07/25Division Profesional3:2
  • 08/23/25Division Profesional0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Sportivo Ameliano3912161146:4552
82 de Mayo3913121436:5351
9Recoleta391272054:6043
10Rubio Nu391092034:5539
11Sportivo Luqueno391062341:6636
12Sportivo San Lorenzo394102524:7122

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.