All matches

Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II prediction

Spain, Segunda División

VARStats prediction for 9 November: Sabadell 59%, draw 24%, Real Sociedad II 17%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

2.0LDLWD
  
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
59%24%17%
SabadellPrice 1.6659%DrawPrice 3.9624%Real Sociedad IIPrice 5.3117%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Sabadell59%59%1.691.66+0.3
XDraw24%24%4.223.960.0
2Real Sociedad II17%17%5.805.31-0.3

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes51%

Fair price 1.97House price 1.84

No49%

Fair price 2.03House price 1.86

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4493 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4478 matches

Cards prediction

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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4463 matches

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

SabadellReal Sociedad II

CE Sabadell FC 59%, Real Sociedad de Fútbol II 17%. The safest is “CE Sabadell FC or draw” at 83%.

CE Sabadell FC 59%Draw 24%Real Sociedad de Fútbol II 17%
1st half
40 · 40 · 20
2nd half
47 · 37 · 17

Prices: 1.66 · 3.96 · 5.31

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Under 1.5

64%1.46
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSabadellReal Sociedad IICombined
Goals scored0.801.202.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Sabadell
  • schedule9 days’ rest
  • Unbeaten at home in 5 matches1:1, 0:0, 3:1, 3:2, 1:0
  • One win in the last 5 matches1:2, 1:1, 0:1, 2:1, 0:0
Real Sociedad II
  • schedule9 days’ rest
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches12 goals conceded
  • One win in the last 5 matches1:0, 0:1, 2:4, 1:4, 2:3

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Sabadell

  • awayAlbacete1:2
  • homeTenerife1:1
  • awayBurgos0:1
  • awayCeuta2:1
  • homeAndorra0:0

Real Sociedad II

  • homeGirona1:0
  • awayLas Palmas0:1
  • homeAlmeria2:4
  • awayCelta Vigo II1:4
  • homeGranada2:3

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Burgos1263317:1321
9Real Oviedo1253417:1518
10Sabadell1245312:1117
11Las Palmas1252517:2117
12Cordoba1251619:2216
13Real Valladolid1243520:1915
14Tenerife1236315:1715
15Eldense1242613:1714
16Celta Vigo II1234518:2313
17Leganes1233610:2012
18Andorra1232717:2211
19Real Sociedad II1232715:2211
20Cadiz1224615:1610
21Albacete1221910:237

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.