All matches

Olimpia — Real Espana, Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras

Honduras, Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras

Olimpia
3.6WLWDD
—
Real Espana
2.9WDWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
53%27%20%
Olimpia53%Draw27%Real Espana20%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Olimpia53%1.90—
XDraw27%3.68—
2Real Espana20%4.94—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.81

No45%

ours 2.24

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricOlimpiaReal EspanaCombined
Goals scored1.831.173.00
Conceded0.830.501.33
Corners8.07.87.9
Cards0.40.00.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

OlimpiaReal Espana

CD Olimpia 53%, Real CD España 20%. The safest is “CD Olimpia or draw” at 79%.

CD Olimpia 53%Draw 27%Real CD España 20%
1st half
37 · 42 · 21
2nd half
39 · 38 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Under 1.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Olimpia

  • homeAtletico Independiente4:0
  • awayMarathon0:1
  • homePlatense4:1
  • awayEstrella Roja2:2
  • awayOlancho1:1

Real Espana

  • homeMotagua1:0
  • awayOlancho1:1
  • homeLobos UPNFM2:0
  • homeAtletico Choloma2:1
  • awayMarathon1:1

Head to head

  • 05/13/26Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras3:2
  • 05/10/26Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras1:3
  • 04/26/26Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras2:3
  • 03/08/26Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras1:1
  • 12/28/25Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Real Espana853013:418
2Olimpia852119:717
3Marathon852114:617
4Motagua841311:813

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.