All matches

CD Eldense — Córdoba CF, Segunda División

Spain, Segunda División

CD Eldense
1.4LLWDL
—
Córdoba CF
1.8LWLLL
Outcome probability
392734
CD Eldense39%Draw27%Córdoba CF34%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1CD Eldense39%2.59—
XDraw27%3.64—
2Córdoba CF34%2.95—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.82

No45%

ours 2.22

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCD EldenseCórdoba CFCombined
Goals scored0.331.001.33
Conceded0.672.002.67
Corners9.47.88.6
Cards1.63.45.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    CD EldenseCórdoba CF
    7.9Days of rest4.9
    50.60%Possession59.40%
    19Table position18
    2Matches in 14 days2
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    CD Eldense look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 39%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

CD Eldense

  • awayBurgos CF0:1
  • homeSD Eibar1:2
  • awayReal Sporting de Gijón1:0
  • homeReal Club Deportivo Mallorca0:0
  • awayCD Leganés0:1

Córdoba CF

  • awayReal Valladolid Club de Fútbol1:3
  • awayAlbacete Balompié2:1
  • homeUD Almería0:2
  • awayCE Sabadell FC2:3
  • homeGranada CF1:3

Head to head

  • 04/26/25Segunda División1:1
  • 10/26/24Segunda División0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
16Real Valladolid Club de Fútbol72236:98
17FC Andorra720512:156
18Córdoba CF720510:166
19CD Eldense71244:95
20Cádiz CF70437:104
21Agrupación Deportiva Ceuta FC71156:174

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.