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Independiente de La Chorrera 4:3 Sporting San Miguelito, LPF: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

Panama, LPFMatch finished

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
39%34%27%
Independiente de La Chorrera39%Draw34%Sporting San Miguelito27%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.11xG1.44
50Possession, %50
7Shots11
6Shots on target6
4Corners3
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 72 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Independiente de La Chorrera39%
  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.571%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 29%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    No62%

    Actual: Yes — we had 38%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Independiente de La Chorrera39%2.56—
XDraw34%2.96—
2Sporting San Miguelito27%3.69—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Independiente de La Chorrera

  • awayUniversitario1:0
  • homeVeraguas3:1
  • homeArabe Unido1:1
  • awayAlianza0:2
  • homeSporting San Miguelito4:3

Sporting San Miguelito

  • homeUMECIT0:0
  • awayAlianza3:1
  • homeTauro0:2
  • homeUnion Cocle3:1
  • awayVeraguas1:1

Head to head

  • 09/20/26LPF4:3
  • 03/01/26LPF1:1
  • 11/12/25LPF2:1
  • 09/07/25LPF0:2
  • 03/09/25LPF4:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5UMECIT1456313:1121
6Tauro1462621:1520
9Universitario1435612:1414
10Alianza1435613:2114

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.