All matches

Universitario — Veraguas, LPF

Panama, LPF

Universitario
1.5LWDLD
—
Veraguas
2.0WDDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
40%29%31%
Universitario40%Draw29%Veraguas31%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Universitario40%2.51—
XDraw29%3.42—
2Veraguas31%3.23—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.83

No45%

ours 2.20

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricUniversitarioVeraguasCombined
Goals scored0.500.671.17
Conceded0.500.501.00
Corners11.78.310.0
Cards1.73.04.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

UniversitarioVeraguas

CD Universitario 40%, Veraguas CD 31%. The safest is “CD Universitario or draw” at 74%.

CD Universitario 40%Draw 29%Veraguas CD 31%
1st half
40 · 40 · 20
2nd half
32 · 40 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Universitario

  • awayPlaza Amador1:2
  • homeUMECIT2:1
  • awayAlianza0:0
  • awayTauro0:1
  • homeSporting San Miguelito1:1

Veraguas

  • homeTauro2:1
  • homeSporting San Miguelito1:1
  • awayPlaza Amador1:1
  • homeAlianza2:1
  • awayArabe Unido1:3

Head to head

  • 08/02/26LPF1:2
  • 04/18/26LPF0:1
  • 01/17/26LPF2:1
  • 10/31/25LPF1:2
  • 08/02/25LPF1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Arabe Unido1164116:822
3San Francisco1162322:1420
4Veraguas1146117:1518
5UMECIT1144310:916
6Tauro1142516:1314
7Alianza1135311:1014
8Independiente de La Chorrera1125415:1711
9Universitario1125410:1211
10Sporting San Miguelito1125411:1411
11Herrera1123610:239

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.