All matches

Herrera — Independiente de La Chorrera, LPF

Panama, LPF

Herrera
0.6WLLLL
—
Independiente de La Chorrera
1.9DLWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
25%27%48%
Herrera25%Draw27%Independiente de La Chorrera48%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Herrera25%3.93—
XDraw27%3.74—
2Independiente de La Chorrera48%2.09—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.79

No44%

ours 2.27

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricHerreraIndependiente de La ChorreraCombined
Goals scored0.330.831.16
Conceded1.331.002.33
Corners9.39.79.5
Cards3.71.35.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

HerreraIndependiente de La Chorrera

Herrera FC 25%, CA Independiente de La Chorrera 48%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Herrera FC 25%Draw 27%CA Independiente de La Chorrera 48%
1st half
25 · 40 · 35
2nd half
28 · 38 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Away or draw

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Herrera

  • homeAlianza1:0
  • awayArabe Unido1:2
  • homeTauro0:6
  • homeUMECIT1:3
  • awayPlaza Amador1:4

Independiente de La Chorrera

  • homeArabe Unido1:1
  • awayAlianza0:2
  • homeSporting San Miguelito4:3
  • homePlaza Amador2:2
  • awayUMECIT0:2

Head to head

  • 08/04/26LPF0:0
  • 04/21/26LPF2:2
  • 01/17/26LPF0:4
  • 10/18/25LPF0:2
  • 07/26/25LPF0:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Tauro1142516:1314
7Alianza1135311:1014
8Independiente de La Chorrera1125415:1711
9Universitario1125410:1211
10Sporting San Miguelito1125411:1411
11Herrera1123610:239
12Union Cocle111288:215

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.