All matches

Brighton vs Arsenal: result 3:0

England, Premier LeagueMatch finished

Final score 3:0. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Arsenal 51%, draw 28%, Brighton 21%.

2.6WLDWW
3:0HT 2:0
3.4WWDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
21%28%51%
Brighton21%Draw28%Arsenal51%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.68xG1.08
40Possession, %60
17Shots11
5Shots on target2
5Corners6
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
13Fouls11
0Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 63 of 100
  • Match result Missed
    Arsenal51%

    Actual: Brighton — we had 21%

  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.554%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 46%

  • Both teams to score Landed
    No50%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Brighton21%4.85—
XDraw28%3.54—
2Arsenal51%1.96—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Brighton

  • awayManchester City1:0
  • awayLiverpool0:2
  • awayJablonec0:0
  • homeCrystal Palace5:0
  • homeKauno Zalgiris4:0

Arsenal

  • awayLiverpool1:0
  • homeEverton2:0
  • awayBayern Munich2:2
  • awayNottingham Forest1:0
  • homeLille3:0

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Premier League3:0
  • 03/04/26Premier League0:1
  • 12/27/25Premier League1:2
  • 01/04/25Premier League1:1
  • 08/31/24Premier League1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Arsenal980114:524
2Manchester City970220:1021
3Brighton961224:719
4Chelsea951319:1516
5Liverpool943211:915

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.