Brighton vs Arsenal: result 3:0
Final score 3:0. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Arsenal 51%, draw 28%, Brighton 21%.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedArsenal51%
Actual: Brighton — we had 21%
- Total goals MissedUnder 2.554%
Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 46%
- Both teams to score LandedNo50%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Brighton
- awayManchester City1:0
- awayLiverpool0:2
- awayJablonec0:0
- homeCrystal Palace5:0
- homeKauno Zalgiris4:0
Arsenal
- awayLiverpool1:0
- homeEverton2:0
- awayBayern Munich2:2
- awayNottingham Forest1:0
- homeLille3:0
Head to head
- 09/19/26Premier League3:0
- 03/04/26Premier League0:1
- 12/27/25Premier League1:2
- 01/04/25Premier League1:1
- 08/31/24Premier League1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
England, Premier League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.


