Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.68
No41%
ours 2.47
All matches
—
Breidablik — Vikingur Reykjavik, Úrvalsdeild
Iceland, Úrvalsdeild
Breidablik
2.3LWLLL
Vikingur Reykjavik
3.6WWDDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
26%22%53%
Breidablik26%Draw22%Vikingur Reykjavik53%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Breidablik3.92—
XDraw4.60—
2Vikingur Reykjavik1.90—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBreidablikVikingur ReykjavikCombined
Goals scored1.331.673.00
Conceded2.171.333.50
Corners13.210.812.0
Cards1.62.23.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
BreidablikVikingur Reykjavik
Breidablik UBK 26%, Víkingur Reykjavík 53%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.
Breidablik UBK 26%Draw 22%Víkingur Reykjavík 53%
1st half
27 · 36 · 37
2nd half
25 · 37 · 37
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Breidablik
- awayIA Akranes1:4
- awayFram Reykjavik3:1
- awayKA1:2
- homeStjarnan0:2
- homeFram Reykjavik3:4
Vikingur Reykjavik
- awayKR Reykjavik2:1
- homeKeflavik IF4:1
- homeFram Reykjavik2:2
- awayKR Reykjavik1:1
- awayBorac Banja Luka1:3
Head to head
- 06/25/26Úrvalsdeild1:4
- 04/10/26Úrvalsdeild1:1
- 10/18/25Úrvalsdeild1:2
- 08/31/25Úrvalsdeild2:2
- 06/01/25Úrvalsdeild3:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik24185173:2359
Vikingur Reykjavik24185173:23592
KR Reykjavik24145580:5247
KR Reykjavik24145580:52473
Fram Reykjavik24137459:4746
Fram Reykjavik24137459:47464Breidablik2496947:4633
Breidablik2496947:46335
IA Akranes2496944:4733
IA Akranes2496944:47336
Valur24941144:4731
Valur24941144:4731Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.