All matches

Vikingur Reykjavik — IA Akranes, Úrvalsdeild

Iceland, Úrvalsdeild

Vikingur Reykjavik
3.6WWDDL
—
IA Akranes
1.9WLWDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
70%19%11%
Vikingur ReykjavikMarket 1.3270%DrawMarket 5.7019%IA AkranesMarket 7.1011%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Vikingur Reykjavik70%76%1.431.32-5.8
XDraw19%18%5.315.70+1.3
2IA Akranes11%14%8.917.10-2.9

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.74book 1.40

No42%

ours 2.36book 2.73

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricVikingur ReykjavikIA AkranesCombined
Goals scored2.002.334.33
Conceded1.331.833.16
Corners10.814.512.7
Cards1.82.24.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Vikingur ReykjavikIA Akranes

Víkingur Reykjavík 70%, ÍA Akranes 11%. The safest is “Víkingur Reykjavík or draw” at 87%.

Víkingur Reykjavík 70%Draw 19%ÍA Akranes 11%
1st half
44 · 37 · 18
2nd half
50 · 33 · 17

Bookmakers: 1.32 · 5.70 · 7.10

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

71%1.10
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Vikingur Reykjavik

  • awayKR Reykjavik2:1
  • homeKeflavik IF4:1
  • homeFram Reykjavik2:2
  • awayKR Reykjavik1:1
  • awayBorac Banja Luka1:3

IA Akranes

  • homeBreidablik4:1
  • awayKR Reykjavik1:5
  • homeKR Reykjavik3:1
  • awayValur2:2
  • homeFH Hafnarfjordur1:1

Head to head

  • 08/02/26Úrvalsdeild2:2
  • 04/27/26Úrvalsdeild4:0
  • 08/17/25Úrvalsdeild1:0
  • 05/24/25Úrvalsdeild2:1
  • 10/19/24Úrvalsdeild4:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik24185173:2359
2KR Reykjavik24145580:5247
3Fram Reykjavik24137459:4746
4Breidablik2496947:4633
5IA Akranes2496944:4733
6Valur24941144:4731
7Stjarnan24941146:5531

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.