Both teams to score
Yes49%
ours 2.04
No51%
ours 1.96
All matches
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Petrol Asyut — El Gouna, Premier League
Egypt, Premier League
Petrol Asyut
1.6LLLDD
El Gouna
1.7LLLDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
27%37%36%
Petrol Asyut27%Draw37%El Gouna36%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Petrol Asyut3.77—
XDraw2.69—
2El Gouna2.76—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos
Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.
Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Sign upConfident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 907 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 906 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 903 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Petrol AsyutEl Gouna
Asyut Petroleum 27%, El Gounah 36%. The safest is “El Gounah or draw” at 76%.
Asyut Petroleum 27%Draw 37%El Gounah 36%
1st half
26 · 47 · 26
2nd half
22 · 44 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricPetrol AsyutEl GounaCombined
Goals scored0.000.330.33
Conceded0.670.831.50
Corners10.39.09.6
Cards1.80.82.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
Petrol Asyut
- homeCoca-Cola0:2
- awayAl Ittihad Alexandria0:1
- homeNational Bank of Egypt0:1
- awaySmouha0:0
- homePetrojet1:1
El Gouna
- homePetrojet1:2
- awayPyramids0:1
- homeAl Mokawloon0:1
- awayEl Qanah1:1
- homeCoca-Cola1:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
16
Smouha51131:44
Smouha51131:4417
Abu Qir Semad51041:83
Abu Qir Semad51041:8318El Gouna50233:62
El Gouna50233:6219Petrol Asyut50231:52
Petrol Asyut50231:5220
Ghazl El Mahalla50141:91
Ghazl El Mahalla50141:91Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.